Note the sentence of the quote below which states that the surface
temperature drop from January 2007-May 2008 cancels out almost all the
entire observed surface temperature rise of the 20th Century and the
one which states record sea ice extents in 2007-8 and the largest
GLOBAL temperature drop from January 07 - January 08 since records
began in 1880. Hardly supportive of your claims is it?
http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) concluded
that anthropogenic CO2 emissions probably caused more than half of the
?global warming? of the past 50 years and would cause further rapid
warming. However, global mean surface temperature has not risen since
1998 and may have fallen since late 2001. The present analysis suggests
that the failure of the IPCC?s models to predict this and many other
climatic phenomena arises from defects in its evaluation of the three
factors whose product is climate sensitivity:
1. Radiative forcing ?F;
2. The no-feedbacks climate sensitivity parameter K; and
3. The feedback multiplier ?.
Some reasons why the IPCC?s estimates may be excessive and unsafe are
explained. More importantly, the conclusion is that, perhaps, there is
no ?climate crisis?, and that currently-fashionable efforts by
governments to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions are pointless, may be
ill-conceived, and could even be harmful.
The context
LOBALLY-AVERAGED land and sea surface absolute temperature TS has not
risen since 1998 (Hadley Center; US National Climatic Data Center;
University of Alabama at Huntsville; etc.). For almost seven years, TS
may even have fallen (Figure 1). There may be no new peak until 2015
(Keenlysideet al., 2008).
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in
?global warming?; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from
1940-1975; nor 50 years? cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and
the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003
(Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski&Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset,
duration, or intensity of the Madden-Julian intraseasonal oscillation,
the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino/La
Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its
warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own,
may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past
half-century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of
multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little
Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously-observed growth
in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004
hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK
flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged
droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the
past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than
at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004;
Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface ?global warming? on
Mars, Jupiter, Neptune?s largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the
eerily- continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate
decline of ~0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has
canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.
Since the phase-transition in mean global surface temperature late in
2001, a pronounced downtrend has set in. In the cold winter of 2007/8,
record sea-ice extents were observed at both Poles. The January-to-
January fall in temperature from 2007-2008 was the greatest since
global records began in 1880. Data sources: Hadley Center monthly
combined land and sea surface temperature anomalies; University of
Alabama at Huntsville Microwave Sounding Unit monthly lower-troposphere
anomalies