> Source:
http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/healthnews.php?newsid=59714
>
> If a worldwide flu pandemic like the one in 1918-20 were to strike today
> it could kill between 51 and 81 million people, with 96 per cent of
> deaths being in poorer countries. This was the conclusion of a US study
> led by Professor Chris Murray of the Harvard Initiative for Global
> Health.
>
> The study is published in The Lancet.
>
> The researchers used high-quality vital registration data of deaths
> occuring at the time of the 1918-20 pandemic. From these figures they
> estimated what the likely globaly mortality would be from a flu pandemic
> if it happened today.
>
> In a podcast interview, Professor Murray says that the impetus for the
> research came from listening to colleagues talk at meetings about what
> the death toll from a flu pandemic might be. Estimates ranged from 50 to
> 100 million to as many as 1 billion deaths worldwide, but nobody had yet ...