Author: MarcinMarcin
Date: May 27, 2008 13:27
We are asking a man a few questions. After every response we can
check, whether he told the truth or deliberately lied. Lets say, at
the beginning, the probability, that the man will lie and the
probability the man will tell the truth are the same (0.5). If the man
answers the first question and lies, the probability that he will also
lie when asking a second question is (I guess) already greater than
0.5. But, if the man will answer first five questions frankly, the
probability, that in the reply to sixth question he will also tell the
truth is already much higher than 0.5. But how high is the propability
exactly, and how do you calculate that?
(sorry for english :)
|