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Author: BeaForoniBeaForoni
Date: Apr 21, 2008 22:53
Just finished watching the WPT from Canada. Its nice to see that the
teenagers there have the same types of wardrobe malfunctions as teens
here.
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4 Comments |
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Author: watches0536watches0536
Date: Apr 21, 2008 22:00
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Author: ClaveClave
Date: Apr 21, 2008 21:27
"Clave" cablespeed.com> wrote in message news:...
> "Clave" cablespeed.com> wrote in message news:...
>> "Wayne Vinson" wrote in message
>> news:hgktd5xtqe.ln2@recgroups.com...
>>> Everyone knows that the odds of being dealt aces in holdem are slightly
>>> worse than 200:1 against. And therefore the odds of being dealt them
>>> twice in a row are slightly worse than 40,000:1 against. So, if you
>>> play a session of say 100 consecutive hands, what are the odds that
>>> there will be dealt aces twice (or more) in a row? Close to 400:1
>>> against, or 800:1 against?
<...>
While I still think my earlier result without the "or more" part was good,
I must reverse myself wrt the problem as given.
It's been a while since my last stix class, but here we go (^ indicates
exponentiation).
Call N the number of hands dealt. For N=2, we know the probability.
1/(200^2)
For N=3, we have two ways of making two consecutive two-ace hands, and one
way of making three two-ace hands, or
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Author: blog014blog014
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Author: watches0409watches0409
Date: Apr 21, 2008 20:36
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Author: ClaveClave
Date: Apr 21, 2008 20:09
"Clave" cablespeed.com> wrote in message news:...
> "Wayne Vinson" wrote in message
> news:hgktd5xtqe.ln2@recgroups.com...
>> Everyone knows that the odds of being dealt aces in holdem are slightly
>> worse than 200:1 against. And therefore the odds of being dealt them
>> twice in a row are slightly worse than 40,000:1 against. So, if you play
>> a session of say 100 consecutive hands, what are the odds that there will
>> be dealt aces twice (or more) in a row? Close to 400:1 against, or 800:1
>> against?
>>
>> Here are two sample arguments:
>>
>> A: Starting with each individual deal, the next two deals constitute a
>> opportunity to have aces hit twice. There are 99 such opportunities, so
>> the odds are roughly 400:1 against.
>>
>> B: A is an idiot. Every time a non-ace hand hits, it ruins not one, but
>> two different possible chances to get consecutive aces. In other words,
>> the trials are not independent. If trial N fails (not repeat aces), then
>> we know either trial N+1 or N-1 failed as well. This means that in effect ...
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