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  Its Aboot The Bootie         


Author: BeaForoni
Date: Apr 21, 2008 22:53

Just finished watching the WPT from Canada. Its nice to see that the
teenagers there have the same types of wardrobe malfunctions as teens
here.
4 Comments
  Brand Watches ESQ Blackfin 300m Dive Watch Black Dial Strap 07301150 Watch Discount, Replica, Fake         


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  'Texas Hold'em Plus'         


Author: JERSEYJIM
Date: Apr 21, 2008 21:41

Has anyone played this?
http://www.pokernews.com/news/2008/03/sextons-corner-41-texas-holdem-plus.htm
JerseyJim

_______________________________________________________________________ 
RecGroups : the community-oriented newsreader : www.recgroups.com
27 Comments
  Re: Probability to ponder...         


Author: Clave
Date: Apr 21, 2008 21:27

"Clave" cablespeed.com> wrote in message news:...
> "Clave" cablespeed.com> wrote in message news:...
>> "Wayne Vinson" wrote in message
>> news:hgktd5xtqe.ln2@recgroups.com...
>>> Everyone knows that the odds of being dealt aces in holdem are slightly
>>> worse than 200:1 against. And therefore the odds of being dealt them
>>> twice in a row are slightly worse than 40,000:1 against. So, if you
>>> play a session of say 100 consecutive hands, what are the odds that
>>> there will be dealt aces twice (or more) in a row? Close to 400:1
>>> against, or 800:1 against?

<...>

While I still think my earlier result without the "or more" part was good,
I must reverse myself wrt the problem as given.

It's been a while since my last stix class, but here we go (^ indicates
exponentiation).

Call N the number of hands dealt. For N=2, we know the probability.

1/(200^2)

For N=3, we have two ways of making two consecutive two-ace hands, and one
way of making three two-ace hands, or
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8 Comments
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  Re: Probability to ponder...         


Author: Clave
Date: Apr 21, 2008 20:09

"Clave" cablespeed.com> wrote in message news:...
> "Wayne Vinson" wrote in message
> news:hgktd5xtqe.ln2@recgroups.com...
>> Everyone knows that the odds of being dealt aces in holdem are slightly
>> worse than 200:1 against. And therefore the odds of being dealt them
>> twice in a row are slightly worse than 40,000:1 against. So, if you play
>> a session of say 100 consecutive hands, what are the odds that there will
>> be dealt aces twice (or more) in a row? Close to 400:1 against, or 800:1
>> against?
>>
>> Here are two sample arguments:
>>
>> A: Starting with each individual deal, the next two deals constitute a
>> opportunity to have aces hit twice. There are 99 such opportunities, so
>> the odds are roughly 400:1 against.
>>
>> B: A is an idiot. Every time a non-ace hand hits, it ruins not one, but
>> two different possible chances to get consecutive aces. In other words,
>> the trials are not independent. If trial N fails (not repeat aces), then
>> we know either trial N+1 or N-1 failed as well. This means that in effect ...
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