January 28 2010
What would 121 meteorologists know about the weather, anyway?
Only one in four American Meteorological Society broadcast meteorologists
agrees with UN claims that humans are primarily responsible for recent
global warming, a survey published in the Bulletin of the American
Meteorological Society reports.
The survey results contradict the oft-repeated assertion that a consensus of
scientists believes humans are causing a global warming crisis.
The American Meteorological Society (AMS) survey was limited to television
weather forecasters who are also meteorologists.
A prior survey of all television weather forecasters--including ones without
meteorological training--produced a heavy percentage of skeptics.
The new survey was designed to determine whether the meteorologists held the
same opinion as the broader group of all television weather forecasters.
The survey was conducted by the congressionally funded National
Environmental Education Foundation and vetted by an advisory board of
climate experts from groups such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, National Weather Service, and Pew Center for Global Climate
The AMS study found:
Only 24 percent of the survey respondents agree with UN IPCC assertion that
most of the warming since 1950 is very likely human-induced.
Only 19 percent agree with the claim, Global climate models are reliable in
their projection for a warming of the planet.
Only 19 percent agree with the assertion, Global climate models are reliable
in their projections for precipitation and drought.
Only 45 percent disagree with Weather Channel cofounder John Colemans
strongly worded statement, Global warming is a scam.
"It is a remarkable fact that despite the worldwide expenditure of perhaps
US$50 billion since 1990, and the efforts of tens of thousands of scientists
worldwide, no human climate signal has yet been detected that is distinct
from natural variation."
Bob Carter, Research Professor of Geology, James Cook University, Townsville