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Re: Melting         

Group: aus.invest · Group Profile
Author: zobon
Date: Sep 12, 2008 04:05

"Echosyn" copper.net> wrote in message
news:2a07e781-95d0-4853-aab6-5336099a8389@s50g2000hsb.googlegroups.com...
> In about three years Antarctica will be a scattering of inhospitable
> rocky islands;

Huh????

Scientists Debunk Outright Lies And Distorton On So-Called "Melting
Antarctic"

Media Hype On 'Melting' Antarctic Ignores Record Ice Growth

Marc Morano

27 Mar 2008

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id...

The media is once again hyping an allegedly dire consequence of man-made
global warming. This time the media is promoting the ice loss of one
tiny fraction of the giant ice-covered continent and completely ignoring
the current record ice growth on Antarctica. Contrary to media hype, the
vast majority of Antarctica has cooled over the past 50 years and ice
coverage has grown to record levels since satellite monitoring began in
the 1979, according to peer-reviewed studies and scientists who study
the area.

Former Weather Channel Meteorologist Joe D'Aleo rejected the hype
surrounding the recent Wilkins Ice Shelf collapse in Western Antarctica.
"The shattered part of the Wilkins ice sheet was 160 square miles in
area, which is just 0.01%% of the total current Antarctic ice cover, like
an icicle falling from a snow and ice covered roof," D'Aleo wrote on
March 25. "We are very likely going to exceed last year's record [for
Southern Hemisphere ice extent]. Yet the world is left with the false
impression Antarctica's ice sheet is also starting to disappear," D'Aleo
added.

Climate scientist Dr. Ben Herman, past director of the Institute of
Atmospheric Physics and former Head of the Department of Atmospheric
Sciences at the University of Arizona, stated, "It is interesting that
all of the AGW (anthropogenic global warming) stories concerning
Antarctica are always about what's happening around the [western]
peninsula, which seems to be the only place on Antarctica that has shown
warming. How about the net 'no change' or 'cooling' over the rest of the
continent, which is probably about 95%% of the land mass, not to mention
the record sea ice coverage recently."

Former Colorado State Climatologist Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr., presently
senior scientist at the University of Colorado in Boulder, chastised the
media's Antarctic reporting as "typical of the bias that many
journalists have." Pielke wrote on March 25, "The media has ignored in
their reporting the increase in Antarctic sea ice cover in recent years,
with, at present, a coverage that is well one million square kilometers
above average." Pielke added, "Unfortunately, it appears that most
journalists just parrot the perspective of the first news release on
these climate issues, without doing any further investigation. If this
is inadvertent, they need to be educated in climate science. If
deliberate bias, they are clearly advocates and the reporters should be
clearly and publically identified as having such a bias. In either case,
the public is being misinformed!"

But the news media sadly tossed out objectivity and balance when it came
to this new Antarctic story. Media headlines blared: Bye-bye,
Antarctica? (Salon Magazine 3-26-08); Massive ice shelf collapsing off
Antarctica (C/Net News 3- 26-08); Slab of Antarctic ice shelf collapses
amid warming (Reuters 3-26-08); Ice shelf 'hangs by a thread' (Sydney
Morning Herald 2-26-08).

True to form, Associated Press reporter Seth Borenstein could not allow
himself to include any scientists or peer-reviewed studies countering
alarm over the allegedly "melting" Antarctic. Borenstein instead hyped
alarm by writing on March 27, "Scientists said they are not concerned
about a rise in sea level from the latest event, but say it's a sign of
worsening global warming." [Note: Borenstein has a long history of
incomplete reporting on global warming. See here and here. Also see
related s section below for examples of the media's shoddy environmental
reporting. In addition, ABC World News Sunday anchor Dan Harris this
week produced a low brow smear segment on atmospheric physicist Dr. Fred
Singer, a prominent dissenter of man-made climate fears. ABC News
violated basic journalistic standards by citing "anonymous" scientists
to attack Dr. Singer. See: here, here, here and here. ]

Yet, if only the media would spend a moment to get beyond the hype and
alarmism, they would discover that scientists are already thoroughly
debunking the media characterization of the "melting" Antarctic. [Note:
2007 and now 2008 are overwhelmingly turning into the "tipping points"
for climate alarmism as new peer-reviewed studies continue to debunk
rising CO2 fears, a U.S. Senate minority report reveals over 400
scientists dissented from man-made climate fears, and more and more
scientists continue in 2008 to declare themselves skeptical of a
man-made climate "crisis." The Earth's failure to continue warming has
also confounded promoters of man-made climate fear. Here is a sampling
of inconvenient developments for climate alarmists in 2008 alone: 1)
Oceans Cooling! Scientists puzzled by "mystery of global warming's
missing heat"- 2) New Data from NASA's Aqua satellite is showing
"greatly reduced future warming projected as a consequence of carbon
dioxide."- 3) Former NASA Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer found not one
peer-reviewed paper has 'ruled out a natural cause for most of our
recent warmth' - 4) UN IPCC in 'Panic Mode' as Earth Fails to Warm,
Scientist says - 5) UN IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri "to look into
the apparent temperature plateau so far this century."- 6) New
scientific analysis shows Sun "could account for as much as 69%% of the
increase in Earth's average temperature" - & . 7) An International
team of scientists released a March 2008 report to counter UN IPCC,
declaring: "Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate" - 8) MIT
Climate Scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen's new analysis finds the Earth has
had "No statistically significant warming since 1995."

Below are a few samples of what scientists have said in the past few
days since the Antarctic "melting" stories have hit the media:

1) Climate Scientist Dr. Ben Herman, past director of the Institute of
Atmospheric Physics and former Head of the Department of Atmospheric
Sciences at the University of Arizona, is a member of both the Institute
for the Study of Planet Earth's Executive Committee and the Committee on
Global Change. Herman commented on March 25:

"That ice [the media is hyping] is just a tiny fraction of the Antarctic
ice and probably the increase each winter more than compensates. The
ice loss does not show up, at least not yet on the Illinois site,
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere, which still shows increasing
sea ice heading into [Southern Hemisphere's] winter. It is interesting
that all of the AGW (anthropogenic global warming) stories concerning
Antarctica are always about what's happening around the (Western)
peninsula, which seems to be the only place on Antarctica that has shown
warming. How about the net 'no change' or 'cooling' over the rest of the
continent, which is probably about 95%% of the land mass, not to mention
the record sea ice coverage recently," Herman wrote on March 25.

2) Meteorologist Joseph D'Aleo served as the first Director of
Meteorology at The Weather Channel, was the Chief Meteorologist at
Weather Services International Corporation and served as chairman of the
American Meteorological Society's (AMS) Committee on Weather Analysis
and Forecasting. D'Aleo commented on his website Icecap.us on March 25:

"The shattered part of the Wilkins ice sheet was 160 square miles in
area, which is just 0.01%% of the total current Antarctic ice cover (just
0.003%% of the extent last September), like an icicle falling from a snow
and ice covered roof. And this winter is coming on quickly. The latest
satellite images and reports suggest the ice has already refrozen around
the broken pieces. In fact the ice is returning so fast, it is running
an amazing 60%% ahead (4.0 vs 2.5 million square km extent) of last year
when it set a new record. The total ice extent is already approaching
the second highest level for extent since the measurements began by
satellite in 1979 and just a few days into the Southern Hemisphere fall
season and 6 months ahead of the peak. We are very likely going to
exceed last year's record [for Southern Hemisphere ice extent]. Yet the
world is left with the false impression Antarctica's ice sheet is also
starting to disappear," D'Aleo wrote on march 25.

Other scientists and peer-reviewed studies have recently debunked the
notion of a "melting" Antarctic as well.

3) Former Virginia State Climatologist Dr. Patrick Michaels and Paul C.
Knappenberger, a senior researcher with New Hope Environmental Services
posted comments on Antarctica in February on their website
WorldClimateReport.com. Michaels and Knappenberger wrote a February 27,
2008, article titled "Antarctica Ain't Cooperating": "Another major
article on temperature trends in the Antarctic has appeared in a recent
issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research by a team of scientists
from Ohio State University, the University of Illinois, and the Goddard
Space Flight Center; the research was funded by the National Science
Foundation Office of Polar Programs Glaciology Program. [.] That is
correct - despite all you have heard elsewhere on the subject, the South
Pole has been cooling over the past half century. The previous research
team also reported that any warming in Antarctica has slowed and the
cooling has accelerated in the more recent three decades. According to
Monaghan et al., yet another team previously examined Antarctic
temperatures and "noted that prior to 1965 the continent-wide annual
trends (through 2002) are slightly positive, but after 1965 they are
mainly negative (despite warming over the Antarctic Peninsula)." The
truth from Antarctica is hard for the greenhouse crusade to accept, and
in the long run, the truth from Antarctica might melt away the flimsy,
well-publicized claims about global climate change-especially the
concerns of a rapid sea level rise."

4) In addition, the media's reporting on the alleged "melting" of
Antarctica fails to take into account other factors. "Volcano, Not
Global Warming Effects, May be Melting an Antarctic Glacier" read a
headline in a January 21, 2008, article. The article read in part:
Scientists have discovered a layer of volcanic ash and glass shards in
Antarctica, evidence of an old eruption by a still active volcano that
researchers believe may be contributing to the thinning of Antarctic
glacial ice. Hugh F.J. Corr and David G. Vaughan, two scientists with
the British Antarctic Survey, recently published their discovery of the
volcanic layer in the journal Nature Geoscience. The discovery is
unique, according to Dr. Vaughan. He said, "This is the first time we
have seen a volcano beneath the ice sheet punch a hole through the ice
sheet." The volcano's heat could possibly be melting and thinning the
ice and raising the speed of the Pine Island Glacier in West Antarctica.
(Other s on Antarctic Volcanoes: Map of volcanoes in Antarctica; and
NASA Image of Antarctic Peninsula and pacific ring of fire groups of
volcanoes. )

5) Another inconvenient fact that the media likes to avoid is Antarctica
ice extent GREW to record levels in 2007. A September 11, 2007, article
on IceCap.US explained: "While the news focus has been on the lowest ice
extent since satellite monitoring began in 1979 for the Arctic, the
Southern Hemisphere (Antarctica) has quietly set a new record for most
ice extent since 1979. This can be seen on this graphic from this
University of Illinois site, The Cryosphere Today, which updated snow
and ice extent for both hemispheres daily. The Southern Hemispheric
areal coverage is the highest in the satellite record, just beating out
1995, 2001, 2005 and 2006. Since 1979, the trend has been up for the
total Antarctic ice extent."

6) A January 12, 2008, peer-reviewed paper in AGU (American Geophysical
Union) found "A doubling in snow accumulation in the western Antarctic
Peninsula since 1850." The abstract of the paper by Thomas, E. R., G. J.
Marshall, and J. R. McConnell, states: We present results from a new
medium depth (136 metres) ice core drilled in a high accumulation site
(73.59°S, 70.36°W) on the south-western Antarctic Peninsula during 2007.
The Gomez record reveals a doubling of accumulation since the 1850s,
from a decadal average of 0.49 mweq y?1 in 1855-1864 to 1.10 mweq y?1 in
1997-2006, with acceleration in recent decades. Comparison with
published accumulation records indicates that this rapid increase is the
largest observed across the region. &

7) A February 2007 study reveals Antarctica is not following predicted
global warming models. Excerpt: "A new report on climate over the
world's southernmost continent shows that temperatures during the late
20th century did not climb as had been predicted by many global climate
models." The research was led by David Bromwich, professor of
atmospheric sciences in the Department of Geography, and researcher with
the Byrd Polar Research Center at Ohio State University. [See: Antarctic
temperatures disagree with climate model predictions - ]

8) Dr. Duncan Wingham, Professor of Climate Physics at University
College London and Director of the Centre for Polar Observation and
Modeling, has presented evidence that Antarctic ice is growing.
According to a December 15, 2006, article in Canada's National Post,
"Early last year at a European Union Space Conference in Brussels, for
example, Dr. Wingham revealed that data from a European Space Agency
satellite showed Antarctic thinning was no more common than thickening,
and concluded that the spectacular collapse of the ice shelves on the
Antarctic Peninsula was much more likely to have followed natural
current fluctuations than global warming." "One cannot be certain,
because packets of heat in the atmosphere do not come conveniently
labeled 'the contribution of anthropogenic warming,' " Wingham said,
noting that the evidence is not "favorable to the notion we are seeing
the results of global warming." Wingham and his colleagues found that
72%% of the ice sheet covering the entire land mass of Antarctica is
growing at the rate of 5 millimeters per year. "That makes Antarctica a
sink, not a source, of ocean water. According to their best estimates,
Antarctica will 'lower global sea levels by 0.08 mm' per year" the
National Post article reported.

9) Statistician Dr. Bjorn Lomborg, author of The Skeptical
Environmentalist and professor at the Copenhagen Business School,
questioned former Vice President Al Gore's claims about Antarctica in a
January 21, 2007, Wall Street Journal op-ed. "[Gore] considers
Antarctica the canary in the mine, but again doesn't tell the full
story. He presents pictures from the 2%% of Antarctica that is
dramatically warming and ignores the 98%% that has largely cooled over
the past 35 years. The U.N. panel estimates that Antarctica will
actually increase its snow mass this century. Similarly, Mr. Gore points
to shrinking sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere, but doesn't mention
that sea ice in the Southern Hemisphere is increasing. Shouldn't we hear
those facts?" Lomborg added.

10) UN scientist Dr. Madhav L. Khandekar, a retired Environment Canada
scientist and an expert IPCC reviewer, noted in 2007 that the Southern
Hemisphere is COOLING. Dr. Khandekar wrote on August 6, 2007: "In the
Southern Hemisphere, the land-area mean temperature has slowly but
surely declined in the last few years. The city of Buenos Aires in
Argentina received several centimeters of snowfall in early July, and
the last time it snowed in Buenos Aires was in 1918! Most of Australia
experienced one of its coldest months of June this year. Several other
locations in the Southern Hemisphere have experienced lower temperatures
in the last few years. Further, the sea surface temperatures over world
oceans are slowly declining since mid-1998, according to a recent
world-wide analysis of ocean surface temperatures."

11) Ivy League Geologist Dr. Robert Giegengack, the chair of Department
of Earth and Environmental Science at the University of Pennsylvania,
explained that the Earth has been warming for about 20,000 years, and
humans have only been collecting data for about 200 years. "For most of
earth's history, the globe has been warmer than it has been for the last
200 years. It has only rarely been cooler," Giegengack said according to
a February 2007 article. Giegengack further explained that extremely
long geologic timescales reveal that "only about 5%% of that time has
been characterized by conditions on Earth that were so cold that the
poles could support masses of permanent ice."

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"IPCC staff is working feverishly on a theory that supports global
cooling as proof of global warming. Stay tuned." Addison Gardner
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