> "Bob Rudd" verizon.net> wrote in message
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> news:eZ%%Uj.326$Au2.135@trnddc07...
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>> In article >> 059bb9e27...@i76g2000hsf.googlegroups.com>, ron_0...@hotmail.com says...

>>> On May 7, 10:15 pm, Bob Rudd verizon.net> wrote:

>>>> 2008 Power Rankings - week 9

>

>>>> The ugliness continues as AI7 has the dreams of two of its remaining
>>>> three contestants within their reach.  This week's Power Rankings (I'm
>>>> looking for an official sponsor of them, under my copyright; imagine
>>>> "The NASCAR AI Power Rankings" for example), provided the most internal
>>>> debate we've ever had.  Until show time, a major shakeup was being
>>>> given
>>>> major consideration.  What we learned afterwards, well, the PR speaks
>>>> for itself.

>

>>>> 3. Syesha Mercado - Wow, she appealed to the following demos: hot
>>>> chick,
>>>> potential wardrobe malfunction, race, almost total sympathy etc.  She
>>>> played every card she had but her dad and she won the pot to the final
>>>> three.  Unfortunately, her voyage ends here unless the most
>>>> significantly stunning upset ever on AI occurs next week.  Guess what
>>>> though, if that happens, right now, I'd say she'd be 50-50 to win
>>>> against the remaining David due to "other David hatred" by their
>>>> respective fans.  I never thought she had Vonzell Solomon in her but I
>>>> got to give her mad props for how she negotiated the way to the final
>>>> three.

>

>>>> 2. David Cook - Had last night continued the trend of the past three
>>>> weeks, I was prepared to make the most drastic reversal/call that I've
>>>> ever made in the PR, going back to when I almost put Elliott Yamin over
>>>> Taylor Hicks with four weeks to go!  I was, very seriously, considering
>>>> either a tie for number 1 with Archuleta or a 250 to 500 baby gorilla
>>>> for Cook.  He had it in his grasp.  Add in Cowell's EW comment about "I
>>>> hope he wins," two weeks ago and you'd have needed glasses not to see
>>>> the politics and the demographic shift that was on the horizon.
>>>> However, "DC is back but Archuleta crushed the competition" (combining
>>>> Simon's comments in conclusion last night), well, let's just say that
>>>> David Cook might have left (for whatever reason(s), I won't speculate)
>>>> the opportunity of a lifetime slip right through his hands.  He still
>>>> leads on both coasts but Archuleta made inroads, especially in the
>>>> Southwest, Northwest and in Texas.  DC went from just having to beat
>>>> Archuleta to his now having to beat him while DA, again, has to lose;
>>>> although by no means the same spread that he did five weeks ago.

>

>>>> 1. David Archuleta - He lost 600 pounds as our gorilla in three short
>>>> weeks to 1250 last week.  He was about to lose a whole lot more this
>>>> week had the trends continued.  However, not only was the downward
>>>> trend
>>>> halted, a passing Simon Cowell comment left many who we spoke,
>>>> convinced
>>>> that the kid remains the one to beat.  However, he's still on a diet,
>>>> although instead of a gastric bypass sized weight loss, he's down to a
>>>> half ton gorilla.  Next week could see him shrink to almost nothing or
>>>> be declared the winner.  That's how crazy the politics and demographics
>>>> of AI7 have become!  Add in Brooke White's large group of crossover
>>>> supporters and Archuleta may have picked the right time for another
>>>> climb to the peak of AI victory.  People, from the major demos have
>>>> been
>>>> talking since the show that "Archuleta is back!" and "Simon called it.
>>>> etc".  He's got a solid hold on the Heartland of America and last night
>>>> they, once again, started calling with both hands and two phones for
>>>> him, once again.  The tweens and grandmas are back on board, fully
>>>> committed.  If he wins, does Lloyd-Webber's "keep your eyes open"
>>>> comment deserve honorable mention for the win?

>

>>>> Points to ponder - 1.) I keep coming back to peaking and/or
>>>> re-peaking at the right time.  Archuleta was attempting to lead wire to
>>>> wire which only Underwood has done (and Clay almost did until the
>>>> final).  That's a heavy responsibility for a kid.  He had to recover
>>>> last night and he did.  Similarly, Cook (whether he took the night off,
>>>> had a bad night, believed he was the presumptive champion, who knows?)
>>>> picked the worst possible night to let DA back in through the front
>>>> door.  2.) If there is anything to this TMZ thing, maybe the huge
>>>> volume
>>>> of tween support has caused a final reassessment by TPTB.  Their
>>>> discretionary income is incredible and can buy a lot of d/l's on
>>>> I-Tunes
>>>> etc. as well as concert tickets with mom and grandma. 3.) The tea
>>>> leaves
>>>> next week may well tell the outcome.  4.) If Syesha makes the finals,
>>>> and you can place a legal bet, take the odds for as much as you can
>>>> lose
>>>> without losing sleep.  An eliminated David's fans will vote long and
>>>> heavy against the remaining David.  Add in, like Obama, that Syesha
>>>> would have the overwhelming Af-Am support at that time and AI's biggest
>>>> upset ever would be worth a decent odd's bet.

>

>>>> That's it for week 9 of the 2008 Power Rankings.  I can't thank you
>>>> enough for your continued kindnesses towards me over the years.  As
>>>> always, your questions, comments and new issues raised are always
>>>> welcomed and encouraged.  See you next week!

>

>>>> --
>>>> I hope we can all be good neighbors online!

>

>>> Why my post disappeared?

>

>>> I think the power ranking is less useful in the later stage than the
>>> earlier stage (no disrespect for you Bob).

>

>> None taken or considered.

>

>>> Cook is producer's pick. One good week for Archuleta means nothing.
>>> SImon and Paula has been making media tour to talk up Cook and put
>>> down Archuleta just the past two days. Simon picked his song and set
>>> up for the next week's greatest comeback moment for him. I am 99%% sure
>>> you will put Cook as NO.1 in next week's ranking.

>

>> I'm never sure who is going to be number 1, almost until just before I
>> sit down to write it.  Discount Paula, her opinion is about as
>> worthwhile as a random audience member at this point.  Simon's been
>> saying that but he's also said that he thinks Archuleta will win because
>> of where his appeal comes from and those are the ones who do the most
>> voting.  TPTB/judges/Fox are all trying to create controversy right now
>> for ratings and first single release sales....plus tour sales.

>

>>> But does this mean Archuleta won't win? I don't think so. That's why I
>>> say power ranking in later stage is less useful because so much has
>>> been decided already. I have this theory that when America first set
>>> eyes on this kid, they have decided to protect him whatever it takes.
>>> So we will see what happens, is it producers win or "America."

>

>> Here I'll disagree, PR means as much now as the beginning.  It's just
>> that there are stages to it and we're now in the final stages for the
>> season.  Lots can still happen.  It's tough to change people's minds but
>> it can happen.  Ultimately, it comes down to who votes.  Ratings are
>> down across all the various demos but is actual voting down within
>> certain specific demos.  From that fact, may well be, where we get our
>> winner.  If tweens/younger teens/grandmas/Heartland of America  don't
>> vote as they have been....Cook wins.  If college kids/30-40 year
>> olds/singles vote as they have been, Archuleta wins.

>

>> I'm shortchanging the demos here for brevity and combining them in lots
>> of ways but I hope you get my point.
>> --
>> I hope we can all be good neighbors online!

>
> College aged adults would rather vote for Archuleta, along with twens,
> teens, and grandmas, over Cook????? Please explain!
>
> Elton- Hide quoted text -
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