Joe the Aroma wrote:
> "Bolwerk"
gmail.com> wrote in message
> news:46c4de66$0$3762$4c368faf@roadrunner.com...
>> rotten wrote:
>>> On Aug 16, 10:51 am, Bolwerk gmail.com> wrote:
>>>> rotten wrote:
>>>>> On Aug 16, 9:57 am, ste...@
panix.com (Steven M. O'Neill) wrote:
>>>>>> Pat wrote:
>>>>>>> On Aug 15, 1:44 pm, "Stephen Sprunk" sprunk.org> wrote:
>>>>>>>> What do you expect when you're posting to alt.planning.urban
>>>>>>>> and misc.transport.urban-transit? Of _course_ most people in
>>>>>>>> those groups are in favor of urban living;
>>>>>>> Maybe most people in this group are, but in general, most
>>>>>>> people are not. That's the difference between many people here
>>>>>>> and Real People.
>>>>>>
http://www.tstc.org/bulletin/index.html#article05
>>>>>> A significant percentage of Long Islanders (43%%) would
>>>>>> prefer to live within walking distance of a booming
>>>>>> downtown, neighborhood schools, and public services,
>>>>>> according to a recent Vision Long Island poll conducted by
>>>>>> the Stony Brook University Center for Survey Research.
>>>>>> That's a lot of people feeling trapped in their cars.
>>>>> Then what's stopping them? While that poll may be true, I'm sure that
>>>>> other issues may supersede that preference. Would you be willing to
>>>>> live in triple deckers or duplexes? Would you be willing to have your
>>>>> neighbors breathing down your neck? Would you be willing to have a
>>>>> tiny postage stamp yard? The fact of the matter is that there are
>>>>> plenty of areas in the US where this is possible, you just have to
>>>>> give up the suburban liftstyle. I don't think most people want to do
>>>>> that.
>>>> I personally stay where I am (Brooklyn) partially *because* nobody
>>>> breathes down my neck.
>>>>
>>>> There are probably lots of people who would like urban areas despite
>>>> what you describe above. Maybe not a majority, but a lot. There are
>>>> two other pretty damning factors:
>>>>
>>>> 1) economics. Nice cities, or the nice parts of cities, are expensive.
>>>> Studios break into thousand dollar range in many places besides New
>>>> York.
>>> The reason cities are so expensive is that housing supply is limited,
>>> artificially and unavoidably. But they fight tooth and nail whenever a
>>> developer wants to build new high rise units here in Boston. High
>>> rises are probably unavoidable if you want to increase housing supply.
>>> The NIMBY's are as bad here as they are in the suburbs. The situation
>>> is similar in NYC from what I read. How could you be against high
>>> rises in Manhattan?!?! High rises *are* Manhattan. To get prices down,
>>> they will have to increase supply in Manhattan and to do that they
>>> will ultimately have to ignore the NIMBY's and build high-rises. I
>>> swear, Jane Jacobs was both the best and worst thing to ever happen to
>>> urban planning.
>> Well, parts of Manhattan are about high-rises. There are great swaths of
>> it that are low-rise.
>>
>> It seems the city intentionally limits growth of the housing supply. There
>> are probably political reasons for that - the legislation authorizing rent
>> control only permitted it if the rental occupancy rate stayed below a
>> certain percentage, which I believe it has for decades.
>>
>> I don't know if high-rises are necessarily the answer, although they
>> provide an economical way to shift spent land to a higher-value use.
>> Afterall, in much of NYC (especially the highest demand places), there's
>> little room for more infill.
>
> You need to increase the supply of housing, the only way to do that is with
> high rises.
Not necessarily. Infill and conversions are also possibilities.
Conversions are pretty common actually, except they're usually expensive
condos. For that matter, the supply is increasing, albeit slowly. A
recent trend has been the conversion of old office space in Manhattan to
condos. People would rather live there than work there, often.
Manhattan is dense as hell anyway. Supply should be increased with
conversions and infill in Brooklyn, Queens, and The Bronx. Of course,
additional public transportation would be necessary to support it.
>> I'm not sure how easy or legal factory conversions are.
>>
>>>> 2) crime. Cities that aren't expensive usually aren't nice, often
>>>> because of crime, maybe just because of decay. But crime usually
>>>> follows decay.
>>>>
>>>> Then there are all sorts of ancillary factors, like taxes, local
>>>> corruption, aging infrastructure, less support/benefits from
>>>> states/feds, crappier schools, on and on. And face it, spaces are
>>>> smaller in cities, so there's little room for 2
>>>>
>>>>> But there is some push there. I was reading an article about how some
>>>>> retirees are moving into urban downtowns because they're decided that
>>>>> they like the car-free lifestyle more than suburban/exurban (but car-
>>>>> centric) tranquility.
>>>> The specific retirees you're talking about are often older people with
>>>> big checkbooks. There was something in the NY Times in the past year
>>>> about older old people in FL coming back to the northeast because the
>>>> eldercare is better.
>