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Author: SannySanny Date: May 14, 2008 04:26
In china earthquake killed 12,000 people. Why Scientists with fast
computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
I think the vibration of Earth work on Physics principle.
Here is my technique to predict earthquake by simulation of earth
structure. Things that cause earth quake are.
1. Tension in earth Crust.
2. Temperature and pressure at various points on earth crust.
3. Material of Earth Crust madeup of
4. Wind/ Rains etc
5. Man Made Structures like Bridges/ Dams.
6. History of previous Earth Quakes.
7. What causes EarthQuakes.
Once you collect all the data then On a Super Computer we can predict
when will Earth Quake happen.
So if we know there is going to be a Earth Quake people can migrate to
other countries till EarthQuake is over saving 10,000 lives every
year.
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Author: tadchemtadchem Date: May 14, 2008 06:01
On May 14, 7:26 am, Sanny hotmail.com> wrote:
> In china earthquake killed 12,000 people. Why Scientists with fast
> computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
For the same reason that scientists have not been able to predict most
other earthquakes, anywhere at any time. The data does not exist.
Computers (no matter how fast they are) cannot process extrapolations
from data they have not been provided.
Earthquakes occur for a very simple physical reason: the local
stresses exceed the elastic limits of the materials.
To "predict" earthquakes, one must be able to predict *when* the
stresses will exceed the local elastic limits at any point. This
requires a four-dimensional map of the stresses and their time
variations be superimposed on a three-dimensional map of the local
geology.
The situation is analogous to cloud formation: we know exactly why
clouds form but we don't know enough to be able to tell exactly where
or when a cloud will form, what it will be like, how long it will
last, etc.
> I think the vibration of Earth work on Physics principle.
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Author: BradGuthBradGuth Date: May 14, 2008 06:41
On May 14, 4:26 am, Sanny hotmail.com> wrote:
> In china earthquake killed 12,000 people. Why Scientists with fast
> computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
>
> I think the vibration of Earth work on Physics principle.
>
> Here is my technique to predict earthquake by simulation of earth
> structure. Things that cause earth quake are.
>
> 1. Tension in earth Crust.
> 2. Temperature and pressure at various points on earth crust.
> 3. Material of Earth Crust madeup of
> 4. Wind/ Rains etc
> 5. Man Made Structures like Bridges/ Dams.
> 6. History of previous Earth Quakes.
> 7. What causes EarthQuakes.
>
> Once you collect all the data then On a Super Computer we can predict
> when will Earth Quake happen.
> ...
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Author: MikeMike Date: May 14, 2008 06:54
On May 14, 7:26 am, Sanny hotmail.com> wrote:
> In china earthquake killed 12,000 people. Why Scientists with fast
> computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
>
[snip crap]
For the same reason my supercomputer was unable to predict someone
would post the kind of crap you did.
Mike
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Author: Uncle AlUncle Al Date: May 14, 2008 09:54
Sanny wrote:
>
> In china earthquake killed 12,000 people.
Closer to 300,000 deaths. We are winning the war in Iraq, etc.
> Why Scientists with fast
> computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
Why Scientists with fast
computers unable to predict the weather?
> I think the vibration of Earth work on Physics principle.
[snip crap]
The universe doesn't care what or even if you think. Predict the next
temblor magntiude 6 or larger - location, depth, magnitude. Put up or
shut up.
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Author: Ken S. TuckerKen S. Tucker Date: May 14, 2008 10:19
On May 14, 6:01 am, tadchem comcast.net> wrote:
> On May 14, 7:26 am, Sanny hotmail.com> wrote:
>
>> In china earthquake killed 12,000 people. Why Scientists with fast
>> computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
>
> For the same reason that scientists have not been able to predict most
> other earthquakes, anywhere at any time. The data does not exist.
> Computers (no matter how fast they are) cannot process extrapolations
> from data they have not been provided.
>
> Earthquakes occur for a very simple physical reason: the local
> stresses exceed the elastic limits of the materials.
>
> To "predict" earthquakes, one must be able to predict *when* the
> stresses will exceed the local elastic limits at any point. This
> requires a four-dimensional map of the stresses and their time
> variations be superimposed on a three-dimensional map of the local
> geology.
> ...
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Author: Robert J. KolkerRobert J. Kolker Date: May 14, 2008 11:16
Sanny wrote:
> Why cant physics laws predict Earth Quakes when it can forecast the
> Wheather so Correctly? I was reading somewhere Scientists were
> predicting of EarthQuake in USA but this happened in China why was
> such a big calculation mistake was done.
Tektonic processes are chaoticly dynamic. They are difficult to
predict. Besides which we don't have all the data to even make loose
predictions
Bob Kolker
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Author: SockSock Date: May 14, 2008 13:49
"Uncle Al" hate.spam.net> wrote in message
news:482B1950.9640F6B@hate.spam.net...
You are at the bottom of the stooopid hole.
http://www.buzzle.com/img/articleImages/131617-26.jpg
1) Incompetent individuals tend to overestimate their own level of
skill.
2) Incompetent individuals fail to recognize genuine skill in
others.
3) Incompetent individuals fail to recognize the extremity of their
inadequacy.
Look in the mirror Uncle Alice
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Author: SteveppppStevepppp Date: May 14, 2008 14:19
>Why were scientists unable to predict Earth Quake in China?
Because I'm the only one who can and I don't monitor China.
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Author: BradGuthBradGuth Date: May 14, 2008 16:28
"Why were scientists unable to predict Earth Quake in China?"
Because most don't give a tinkers damn. no money = no science.
Mother Earth is at least 98.5%% fluid.
Moon = 2e20 N/sec * 3.6e3 = 7.2e20 N/hr
7.2e20 N/hr * 24 = 1.728e21 N/day
Convert all of that pesky Newton stuff into energy (say 0.1%% as
unavoidable internal friction).
Do the math, and put into a simulator, because it's fun.
. - Brad Guth
On May 14, 4:26 am, Sanny hotmail.com> wrote:
> In china earthquake killed 12,000 people. Why Scientists with fast
> computers unable to predict the EarthQuake?
>
> I think the vibration of...
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