http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7376301.stm
"The Earth's temperature may stay roughly the same for a decade, as
natural climate cycles enter a cooling phase, scientists have
predicted.
A new computer model developed by German researchers, reported in the
journal Nature, suggests the cooling will counter greenhouse warming.
However, temperatures will again be rising quickly by about 2020, they
say. Other climate scientists have welcomed the research, saying it
may help societies plan better for the future.
See how modelled temperatures may develop
The key to the new prediction is the natural cycle of ocean
temperatures called the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), which
is closely related to the warm currents that bring heat from the
tropics to the shores of Europe.
The cause of the oscillation is not well understood, but the cycle
appears to come round about every 60 to 70 years.
Imagine the payoff of knowing with some certainty what the next 10
years hold in terms of temperature and precipitation
Professor Michael Schlesinger