On Jul 6, 9:10 pm, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John Wilkins) wrote:
> rev.goetzyahoo.com> wrote:
>> On Jul 5, 3:53 am, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John Wilkins) wrote:
>>>rev.goetzyahoo.com> wrote:
>>>> On Jul 4, 1:51 am, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John Wilkins) wrote:
>>>>>rev.goetzyahoo.com> wrote:
>>>>>> On Jun 28, 8:03 pm, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John Wilkins) wrote:
>>>>>>>rev.goetzyahoo.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>> On Jun 28, 6:05 am, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John Wilkins) wrote:
>>>>>>>>>rev.goetzyahoo.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On Jun 26, 8:10 pm, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John Wilkins) wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>rev.goetzyahoo.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>> On Jun 26, 2:22 am, j.wilki...@
uq.edu.au (John
> Wilkins) wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Average Joe comcast.net> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 22:42:47 -0700, Don Stockbauer
> wrote:
>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Humans have free will.
>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> I believe all life has free will, plants are not alive
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> they are just animated, neither has free domain, only
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> God has free domain
>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Everything, including God if he exists, is forced to act
>>>>>>>>>>>>> according to its nature.
>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Are you backsliding into extreme determinism? All freewill
>>>>>>>>>>>> agents act within the limits of their nature, but there is
>>>>>>>>>>>> still freedom within those limits.
>
>>>>>>>>>>> I'm not backsliding. I always was, in this sense, an
>>>>>>>>>>> "extreme" determinist (as a compatibilist, I think that
>>>>>>>>>>> *moral* senses of "free will" are compatible with all our
>>>>>>>>>>> acts being determined). In any case, God has no free will in
>>>>>>>>>>> the determinist sense.
>
>>>>>>>>>> Since I have little free time these days, I will have to drag
>>>>>>>>>> this out into small pieces over an *undetermined* period of
>>>>>>>>>> time.
>
>>>>>>>>>> First of all, are you back to believing that all physical
>>>>>>>>>> events are determined?
>
>>>>>>>>> I don't know at the quantum level, but at the level of
>>>>>>>>> biology, yes.
>
>
>>>>>>> Yes. Every event is causally fully determined (in macro-physical
>>>>>>> terms_. Of course, that doesn't mean that there is no randomness in
>>>>>>> the equations or in drift - just because something is physically
>>>>>>> determined doesn't mean it is biologically determined. There's a
>>>>>>> physical cause, for example, of every mutation. But it isn't
>>>>>>> biologically caused as such - that is extraneous to biology and not
>>>>>>> predictable from it.
>
>>>>>> Does this mean that the outcome of all computer pseudo-simulations of
>>>>>> randomness are deterministic?
>
>>>>> Absolutely. They are referred to as pseudorandom numbers for exactly
>>>>> that reason. They have patterns.
>
>>>> Wow. So pseudorandom numbers have pseudorandom distributions. And
>>>> these distributions are predictable. And this proves that pseudorandom
>>>> computer programs are determinstic.
>
>>> Of course it does. Did you imagine that there was a quantum particle
>>> source in a computer? It's [pretty close approximation of] a universal
>>> turing machine, so of *course* it is deterministic.
>
>> My point is that predictability of a distribution has nothing to do
>> with the predictability or particular events, other than the
>> probability of a particular outcome of a particular event. And I will
>> add that when indeterminate events build upon each other, then we can
>> have an unlimited number of possible outcomes. And I do not see how
>> this can work with any concept of determinism.
>
> Each call to rand() or its equivalent runs a deterministic algorithm
> (which I saw last night on the TV news spelled "algorithum"!). Because
> it is deterministic, the distribution of these pseudorandom outputs ins
> not actually random. One way they taught us to get around this was to
> "seed" the algorithm with a key press - the stochasticity of these
> physical events was enough to avoid the problems of pseudorandomness.
I do not know much about programming, so I need to dummy this down a
little. In the past, I ran random and probabilistic outputs with
statistical softwares called Minitab and MEGA. Perhaps you are not
familiar with these, but I assume you have some familiarity
statistical softwares. In general, are random outputs from statistical
softwares generally random or pseudorandom?
>
> If rand() truly was random in its output, then the processes that
> generated each value would be nondeterminate.
I need to clarify something here. IIRC, earlier you implied that
nothing is random (or nearly random) at the macroscopic level. Is that
correct?
Here is my disagreement. Regardless if we are talking about
evolutionary genetics or a nearly fair coin toss, there are random
macroscopic events.
>
>
>
>>>> I think that we need to distinguish that predictable distributions
>>>> have nothing to do with predictable outcomes of a specific event.
>
>>> That wasn't what you asked. Each aprticular event is computible, and so
>>> it is deterministic. You seem to be confusing chaotic with random.
>
>> Please explain as if you were teaching a freshman class.
>
> You asked if the outcomes of pseudosimulations of randomness were
> deterministic. I gathered you were asking if that meant that each and
> all outputs from that processes were deterministic. They certainly are.
> Their "randomness" is relative to our knowledge of the inputs and
> outputs, not to their being determined by a turing computation.
>
> A lot of people think that the complexity of outputs must imply that
> there is something random, when what they seem to think is that the
> outcome is chaotic - something too hard to simply describe. But chaos in
> the mathematical sense is fully determined.
>
>
>
>>>>> I heard an *excellent* talk on randomness in evolution at the conference
>>>>> I just attended. He made the very clear point that there are at least
>>>>> four distinct interpretations of statistics in play.
>
>>>> And is one of them that all random events are actually deterministic?
>
>>> No. Why would it be, Jim?
>
>> I am attempting to follow you logic to its, well, logical conclusion.
>
>> snip
>
> I do not see how what I said implies that random events are
> deterministic. In fact I think that if we but had a full description of
> each event they would indeed be deterministic, no matter how random they
> seemed. In short, in a broad sense I deny randomness exists (we just do
> not have the math to describe subquantum determinacy yet).
>
> But in the context of *evolution*, which is very much a matter of
> macrolevel events, the "randomness" required is either a lack of
> correlation between mutation and functional requirement, as in classical
> selection, or it is some populational property like a distribution
> (which can be determined - in fact, as Gould once noted, distributions
> *are* a kind of determination. If they weren't, populations might have
> any old distribution). In the case of fitness there is also epistemic
> uncertainty versus expectations.
>
> --
> John S. Wilkins, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Biohumanities Project
> University of Queensland - Blog:
scienceblogs.com/evolvingthoughts
> "He used... sarcasm. He knew all the tricks, dramatic irony, metaphor,
> bathos, puns, parody, litotes and... satire. He was vicious."- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -