Re: Changes In Technology Are Disruptive
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Re: Changes In Technology Are Disruptive         

Group: alt.philosophy · Group Profile
Author: tg
Date: Dec 18, 2006 05:19

Robert Cohen wrote:
> This is not intended to be spam, and I therefore
> apologize if a reader perceives it so.

So put up the $$$ and post the stuff here, like you do with NYT. Aren't
we all brilliant and don't we deserve to be rich?

-tg :)
>
> I deem it interesting but what do I know from relating such to
> philosophy?
>
> Well, the guy is peddliing his ideas for speculators/investors.
>
> He pro-claims there are 4 disruptive technologies a-coming blah, blah,
> blah.
>
> I think it may be fun to guess 'em.
>
> So, here are my guesses, which are non-brain taxing, though too
> general:
>
> Medical: Biotech, duh, it's a matter of time.
> Energy: Something so terrific you'll never see my awful fears/pessimism
> again.
> Puters/electronics: Micro-crape ad infintum
> Building material-technology: Housing in the world is generally too
> expensive for masses.
>
> Here is philosophically related advertisement:
>
> Read Message
> Previous Next | Close
>
>
>
>>From : "Newsletter Advisors" bfpnewsletters.com> | Save to
> Address Book | Block Sender
>
>
>
> Subject : Four Disruptive Technologies That Will Change Your Life
> Forever: Bonus Research Report
>
> Date : Fri, Dec 15, 2006 09:16 AM
>
>
>
>
> Move message to...InboxJunk MailTrashFrom-Arnold-etal [ Printable
> Version ]
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> Click here to display images in this message or edit your settings for
> all messages.
> External Images and objects in this message have been blocked. What's
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>
> The Next Great Event Has Just Begun!
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> December 15, 2006
> 7:15 a.m. E.T.
>
>
>
> Dear Investor:
>
>
>
> Throughout history there have been innovations that disrupted the
> status quo. You probably know the big ones like cars, televisions,
> hypodermic needles and gunpowder.
>
>
>
> In fact, some inventions caused catastrophic shifts in the way people
> worked, lived, played and even invested.
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> What are Disruptive Technologies?
>
>
>
> Disruptive technologies are usually innovations, products or services
> that overturn existing dominant technology.
>
>
>
> For example, steam engines and internal-combustion engines were a
> disruptive technology because they overturned horse and human powered
> machines.
>
>
>
> Another, not so well known disruptive technology was hydraulic
> excavators.
>
>
>
> Prior to hydraulic excavators' earth moving machines were
> cable-operated. Cable operated excavators are the earliest documented
> self- powered machine to move earth. These machines were physically
> demanding, and often broke down.
>
>
>
> In the 1950's hydraulic excavators became less expensive to build,
> operate and maintain. But more importantly, one hydraulic excavator
> could do the work of five cable operated excavators.
>
>
>
> The innovation that caused the disruption in the earth moving industry
> was hydraulics.
>
>
>
> The people that invested in the top hydraulic excavators manufactures
> in 1960's would have made a handsome profit. However, profits were
> not only generated from investing in manufactures of heavy equipment.
> Hydraulics accelerated dozens of industries including real estate
> development, highway construction, oil exploration and mining.
>
>
>
> We discovered four new disruptive technologies that will change the
> course of history in the years to come.
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>
>
> The Theory of Disruptive Technology
>
>
>
> Clayton Christensen coined the term "disruptive technology" in his
> 1997 book entitled The Innovator's Dilemma.
>
> Clayton distinguishes between "low-end disruptions" which targets
> customers who do not need the full performance valued by customers at
> the high end of the market.
>
>
>
> The "new-market disruption" targets customers who could previously not
> be served profitably by low-end disruption.
>
> "Low-end disruption" occurs when the rate at which products improve
> exceeds the rate at which customers can adopt the new performance.
>
>
>
> For example, the performance of a product overshoots the needs of
> certain customer segments. At this point, a disruptive technology may
> enter the market and provide a product which has lower performance than
> the incumbent but which exceeds the requirements of certain segments,
> thereby gaining a foothold in the market.
>
> The telephone provides a nice illustration of "low-end disruption".
>
>
>
>
> When the telephone first arrived on the scene in 1876 it "overshot"
> the needs of most customers. Plus, it was more expensive to manufacture
> and own than a telegraph. Finding investors to exploit the technology
> was next to impossible - let alone customers!
>
>
>
> But in 1878 the President of the United States, Rutherford B. Hayes,
> installed the first telephone in the White House. From that point the
> telephone gained a "foothold" in the market and eventually made the
> telegraph obsolete.
>
>
>
> How Low-end Disruption Occurs Over Time
>
>
>
> In low-end disruption, the disruptor is focused initially on serving
> the least profitable customer, who is happy with a good enough product.
>
>
>
>
> This type of customer is not willing to pay premium for enhancements in
> product functionality. But once the disruptor has gained foot hold in
> this customer segment, it seeks to improve its profit margin. To get
> higher profit margins, the disruptor needs to enter the segment where
> the customer is willing to pay a little more for higher quality.
>
> To ensure this quality in its product, the disruptor needs to innovate.
> The incumbent will not do much to retain its share in not so profitable
> segment, and will move up-market and focus on its more attractive
> customers.
>
> After a number of such encounters, the incumbent is squeezed into
> smaller markets than it was previously serving.
>
> And then finally the disruptive technology meets the demands of the
> most profitable segment and drives the established company out of the
> market.
>
>
>
>
>
> - Historical Perspective -
>
>
>
> 16 Disruptive Technologies that Changed the Course of History and
> Generated Great Wealth for Savvy Investors
>
>
>
> Old Technology
>
> Disruptive Technology (and profits!)
>
> Telegraph
>
> Telephone
>
> Sailing Ships
>
> Steam Ships
>
> Crossbows
>
> Muskets
>
> Photographic film
>
> High-speed CMOS video sensors
>
> Vacuum tubes
>
> Semiconductors
>
> Minicomputers / Workstations
>
> Personal computers
>
> Chemical photography
>
> Digital photography
>
> Traditional publishing
>
> Desktop / Web publishing
>
> Cargo ships
>
> Container ships
>
> Old World Steel Mills
>
> Mini mills
>
> Hemostasis
>
> Nanofibers
>
> Bloodwork
>
> Biological chip
>
> Newspapers
>
> Blogs
>
> Walkman
>
> iPod
>
> Assembly lines
>
> Robotics
>
> Traditional media
>
> The Internet
>
>
>
>
> As you can see, the investment potential of disruptive technologies is
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>
>
>
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>
>
>
> Best Regards,
>
>
>
> Ian Wyatt
>
> Editor-in-Chief
>
> Rising Star Stocks
>
>
>
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>
>
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