| Re: any suggestions what to do on global warming? |
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Group: alt.philosophy · Group Profile
Author: Day BrownDay Brown Date: Sep 18, 2008 19:46
Well, for sure, its not upta us. What we can do only relates to the
local ecosystem we reside in, and whether we get to survive in it.
The only vote you have that counts is that you do with your feet, or a
U-Haul; move to a survivable ecosystem. Which that will be depends on
both the local climate change, and the economic situation. So, lets
start with the latter. We see the market volitility.
So- you dont want to be in an urban area that needs lots of
infrastructure support for survival. Lets remember that one of the
things a free market can do is panic. Dont be in the way.
The rise to Hubbard's Peak oil followed a smooth bell curve. We seem to
be at the apex. Hominids being as they are, as the supply no longer
expands to meet demand, the price rises. As the price rises so does the
greed, and as that rises so do the efforts to use violence to try to
control a source. And, unfortunately, that violence damages the
infrastructure, which drives down production.
If you drive down production, you drive up the price, the greed, the
violence, and drive down production even further with every iteration.
Coming off Hubbard's peak oil is not likely going to follow the same
smooth bell curve, but drop off a cliff. End of CO2 emmissions.
Now, there is another way to handle this, demonstrated not by Rome, but
Byzantium, which shed unprofitable provinces to anarchy and barbarism,
and then redirected critical resources to the great power centers. We
can expect to see 2nd tier economies to also become 'failed states'.
They wont be buying oil either. You dont want to be there.
Twards the end of Jared Diamond's "Collapse" he outlines the traits of
the regions that recover quickest. These criteria come to mind, in no
particular order:
Homogeneous populations pull together to find solutions. Ethnically
diverse ones have demagogues arise to scapegoat minorities.
Low population density means more local resources per capita.
lots of timber provides both building material and firewood.
Clausewitz tells armies, that when confronted with steep forested land,
to go around it. Anyone who remembers the movie "Deliverance" has some
sense of the terror from a few snipers who know the terrain. Either go
there now, and get established with the locals, or dont go there later
when you are just a target.
Avoid conifer forests. Nobody will be stopping the forest fires. Tall
hardwood canopies dont catch on fire if the brush gets going. Temperate
zone hardwood on the slopes wont be flooded in hurricanes. Wont be burnt
out in droughts- they simply shed their leaves like fall. If the land is
steep, tornados get unwound when they slide down into valleys dragging
on one valley wall or the other.
Even if Global Warming produces severe drought, deep valleys will have
springs that will flow for years. And after the jungle, cities, conifers
and grasslands have finished burning off, the air will clear, the rate
of climate change will slow down, and there will be places where life
can still be decent.
We saw the hurricanes; nobody thinks how, if these keep happening, there
wont be summer droughts anymore further inland. If the ice cap melts,
the air from the north wont be as cold so the growing season will be
longer. Air flowing over the melted Arctic ocean will pick up moisture
and then drop as rain.
There are regions that meet more of these criteria, so saner people will
move there. Their kids will be smarter and more self controlled, so the
schools there will still work. Entrepreneurs will find the staffing that
is more competent so their profits will expand and improve the stability
of the local economy. The government will have fewer demagogues.
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