Alan Caruba
May 4, 2008
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/2912
QUOTE: "Emanuel said he'd checked his data and now concluded that there
would not be any substantial increase in frequency or intensity of
hurricanes for the next two centuries."
In late April,
AccuWeather.com, led by Joe Bastardi, its chief
meteorologist, issued a news release that was, to be kind, pure mush.
The early warning forecast for 2008's June to November hurricane season
said that conditions like La Nina and a "continued warm water cycle in
the Atlantic Basin" held forth the "chance for U.S. landfalling storms."
The operative word here is "chance" when predicting hurricanes because
it is largely a question of gaming odds on how many. What no
self-respecting meteorologist, whether in private forecasting or working
for the U.S. government's weather service, wants you to know is that
their highly sophisticated computer weather models quite simply cannot
factor in a whole range of factors, not the least of which is clouds.
Yes, clouds.