On 2006-07-19, Kyle Boatright <kboatright1@comcast.net> wrote: [snip] Soooo... Do I bank on the 10 day forcast being way off base, or do I bet on the forecast, make a drastic change in plans and head to Osh at the beginning of the week, which looks more favorable from a weather standpoint? As everyone else has said, the 10-day forecast is generally a steaming pile of bovine fecal matter
A ten day forecast WILL change, probably drastically. A one day forecast has a good chance of changing. -- Gene Seibel Hangar 131 - http://pad39a.com/gene/plane.html Because I fly, I envy no one. Kyle Boatright wrote: I"m lookin' at going to Oshkosh towards the end of the show - Thursday through Sunday. Right now, the weather channel is predicting a pretty good chance of rain
"Kyle Boatright" <kboatright1@comcast.net> wrote in message news:LPKdncbLEa9AOyPZnZ2dnUVZ_umdnZ2d@comcast.com... Soooo... Do I bank on the 10 day forcast being way off base, or do I bet on the forecast, make a drastic change in plans and head to Osh at the beginning of the week, which looks more favorable from a weather standpoint? As others said, you can't even count on a 5-day
Kyle Boatright <kboatright1@comcast.net> wrote: <snip> Soooo... Do I bank on the 10 day forcast being way off base, or do I bet on the forecast, make a drastic change in plans and head to Osh at the beginning of the week, which looks more favorable from a weather standpoint? Regarding long term forecasts, an optimist assumes a 30% level of accuracy and an pessimist assumes 90%.
